Always Honest
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 68
Belmont Park · Race 11 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Belmont Park | Reylu Gutierrez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | Kendrick Carmouche | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | Kendrick Carmouche | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | Edgard Zayas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Belmont At The Big A | Edgard Zayas | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | Edgard Zayas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 07/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 10/10/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |