9

Hurricane Kaz

3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 72

Belmont Park · Race 11 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼3
Strength87%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 72 · 7f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 72 par11/10C6OR 72C9 @ Aqueduct 14/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 66 · 6f110y 119 · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 66 parC6 @ Aqueduct 03/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 65 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/01/2026 · OR 65 par3/01C6OR 65C6 @ Aqueduct 14/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 68 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/03/2026 · OR 68 parC5 @ Aqueduct 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 77 · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 77 par11/04C5OR 77C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 79 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 79 parC6 @ Saratoga 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 77 · 6f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 77 par7/06C6OR 77C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 79 · 6f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 79 parC6 @ Belmont Park 11/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 78 · 6f Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2026 · OR 78 par11/10C6OR 78projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11Belmont ParkLuis Rivera Jr?6th3rd+3
2026-06-20Belmont At The Big AEdgard Zayas?6th1st+4
2026-06-07SaratogaJaime Rodriguez?3rd0th+3
2026-05-10Belmont At The Big AJaime Rodriguez?2nd-1th+3
2026-04-11AqueductDylan Davis?4th-1th+4
2026-03-14AqueductEric Cancel?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1014/037/0611/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 55/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength75%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20255th6/168%0%-0.68
14/11/20253rd6/168%75%+0.07
03/01/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
14/03/20263rd11/271%75%+0.04
11/04/20264th20/10%25%+0.25
10/05/20262nd11/893%80%-0.13
07/06/20263rd14/126%83%+0.57
20/06/20266th25/10%0%0.00
11/10/20266th14/126%0%-0.26