
Hurricane Kaz
3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 72
Belmont Park · Race 11 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Belmont Park | Luis Rivera Jr | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | Edgard Zayas | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aqueduct | Dylan Davis | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Aqueduct | Eric Cancel | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 14/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/10/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |