Nordic Fyre
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 69
Belmont Park · Race 11 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Saratoga | Edgard Zayas | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Belmont At The Big A | Ruben Silvera | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | Ruben Silvera | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-12-10 | Aqueduct | Ruben Silvera | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +14.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |