Speightful Storm
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 67
Belmont Park · Race 11 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
43%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Finger Lakes | Reylu Gutierrez | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | Edgard Zayas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Aqueduct | Javier Castellano | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Aqueduct | Flavien Prat | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-12-12 | Aqueduct | Manuel Franco | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | Manuel Franco | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 19/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 17/04/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 22/09/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |