1

Violent Act

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 80

Belmont Park · Race 11 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 19/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS19/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19SaratogaRicardo Jr Santana?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength64%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20265th10/382%43%-0.40