2
Lady Azul
2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 48
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Belmont Park | Dexter Haddock | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Saratoga | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | Dexter Haddock | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 12/08/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/10/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |