Army Gal
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | Jose Lezcano | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | Jose Lezcano | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Aqueduct | Dylan Davis | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-11 | Belmont At The Big A | Dylan Davis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Saratoga | Jose Lezcano | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 27/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 06/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 11/07/2025 | 4th | 2/5 | 98% | 0% | -0.98 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 01/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |