2
Collective Bargain
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 72
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Charles Town | Arnaldo Bocachica | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-26 | Saratoga | Luis Rivera Jr | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Monmouth Park | Luis Rivera Jr | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | Edgard Zayas | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | Jose Lezcano | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Aqueduct | Jose Lezcano | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 53/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +13.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/10/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |