4
L'eclair
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 81
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Belmont Park | Flavien Prat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | Jose Ortiz | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Monmouth Park | Paco Lopez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | Paco Lopez | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Turfway Park | Rafael Hernandez | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 32/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 31/01/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/11 | 99% | 50% | -0.49 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 01/10/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |