6
Mermaid Magic
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 72
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Finger Lakes | Reylu Gutierrez | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Saratoga | Javier Castellano | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | Jomar Torres | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 72/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/10/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |