7

Some Ride

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 83

Belmont Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 26/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 11926/12C6C6 @ Aqueduct 04/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 67 · 1m 122 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 67 par4/02C6OR 67C5 @ Laurel Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 75 · 1m 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 75 par21/03C5OR 75C6 @ Aqueduct 19/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 77 · 7f 123 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 77 par19/04C6OR 77C5 @ Belmont Park 02/10/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 81 · 6f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 81 par2/10C5OR 81projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02Belmont ParkJavier Castellano?9th8th+1
2026-04-19AqueductRicardo Jr Santana?3rd3rd0
2026-03-21Laurel ParkJulio Hernandez?3rd2nd+1
2026-02-04AqueductRicardo Jr Santana?1st2nd−1
2025-12-26AqueductLuis Rivera Jr?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/124/0221/0319/042/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20253rd6/168%60%-0.08
04/02/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
21/03/20263rd10/147%50%+0.03
19/04/20263rd9/153%60%+0.07
02/10/20269th14/126%27%+0.01