Annagenda

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 73

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▬

Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.1

Today:

Class gap: -0.1

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-21	Finger Lakes	Oscar Gomez	?	5th	4th	+1	5.6
2026-08-24	Finger Lakes	Oscar Gomez	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-07-27	Finger Lakes	Oscar Gomez	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-06-29	Finger Lakes	Oscar Gomez	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-06-03	Finger Lakes	Reylu Gutierrez	?	8th	8th	0	2.0
2025-11-04	Finger Lakes	Oscar Gomez	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 50/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength11%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
04/11/2025	1st	7/2	82%	100%	+0.18
03/06/2026	8th	10/1	47%	0%	-0.47
29/06/2026	5th	20/1	0%	20%	+0.20
27/07/2026	3rd	10/1	47%	67%	+0.19
24/08/2026	2nd	12/1	37%	86%	+0.49
21/09/2026	5th	4/1	79%	20%	-0.59