4
Athena's Fury
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Belmont Park | Dylan Davis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Saratoga | Junior Alvarado | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-11 | Belmont At The Big A | Manuel Franco | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-08-31 | Saratoga | Dylan Davis | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/10/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |