3
Boomington
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Belmont Park | Javier Castellano | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | Jose Lezcano | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | Dylan Davis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | Manuel Franco | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | John Velazquez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Aqueduct | John Velazquez | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 42/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 04/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 04/10/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |