IvyArcIvyArc
5

Miami Style

3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 83

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 31/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 75 par31/10C9OR 75C9 @ Gulfstream 28/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m 120 · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 78 parC9 @ Gulfstream 10/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 75 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 75 par10/01C9OR 75C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 78 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 74 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 74 par20/03C9OR 74C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 73 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 73 parC5 @ Saratoga 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 74 par26/07C5OR 74C5 @ Saratoga 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 77 · 1m110y Gd 121 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 77 parC7 @ Gulfstream 02/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m 120 · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 79 par2/10C7OR 79projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02GulfstreamDiego Herrera?4th6th−2
2026-08-15SaratogaLuis Saez?3rd3rd0
2026-07-26SaratogaReylu Gutierrez?7th7th0
2026-04-22Tampa Bay DownsSonny Leon?1st5th−4
2026-03-20Tampa Bay DownsCipriano Gil?2nd6th−4
2026-02-15Tampa Bay DownsSamuel Marin?3rd7th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1015/0226/072/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%

Delivery trend +9.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20254th13/266%63%-0.03
28/11/20254th4/179%63%-0.16
10/01/20267th9/276%33%-0.43
15/02/20263rd6/594%78%-0.16
20/03/20262nd4/179%89%+0.10
22/04/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
26/07/20267th50/10%33%+0.33
15/08/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
02/10/20264th16/116%57%+0.41