8

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3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 78

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m Slo 12130/07C6C5 @ Saratoga 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 83 · 1m1f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 83 par21/08C5OR 83C5 @ Belmont Park 24/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 79 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark24/09/2026 · OR 79 par24/09C5OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Belmont ParkManuel Franco?4th4th0
2026-08-21SaratogaManuel Franco?4th3rd+1
2026-07-30SaratogaManuel Franco?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0721/0824/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 73/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength31%

Delivery trend -21.4% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
21/08/20264th15/261%50%-0.11
24/09/20264th5/287%63%-0.24