8

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3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 78
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Belmont Park | Manuel Franco | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 73/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -21.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 24/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |