7
B Thedonald
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | Flavien Prat | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Aqueduct | Manuel Franco | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aqueduct | Manuel Franco | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Aqueduct | Manuel Franco | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 31/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |