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2

Master Freud

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 82

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 10/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 94 · 6f110y 122 · below its mark10/12/2025 · OR 94 par10/12C6OR 94C6 @ Aqueduct 13/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 97 · 7f 123 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 97 parC6 @ Aqueduct 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 95 · 6f 123 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 95 par27/03C6OR 95C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 96 · 6f 126 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 96 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 13/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 90 · 6f Fm 126 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 90 par13/06C7OR 90C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 91 · 7f 126 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Saratoga 26/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 87 · 7f Fas 126 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 87 par26/07C7OR 87C7 @ Belmont Park 18/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 87 · 6f110y Fas 126 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Belmont Park 04/10/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 82 · 6f Fm 126 · below its mark04/10/2026 · OR 82 par4/10C7OR 82projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04Belmont ParkJose Lezcano?9th10th−1
2026-09-18Belmont ParkRajiv Maragh?12th13th−1
2026-07-26SaratogaDalila Rivera?9th10th−1
2026-06-26Belmont At The Big ADalila Rivera?3rd4th−1
2026-06-13Belmont At The Big AChristopher Elliott?10th11th−1
2026-05-15Belmont At The Big ADalila Rivera?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1215/0526/074/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · tight 85/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20255th12/137%33%-0.04
13/02/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
27/03/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
15/05/20266th9/276%44%-0.32
13/06/202610th13/266%10%-0.56
26/06/20263rd11/271%60%-0.11
26/07/20269th15/261%11%-0.49
18/09/202612th25/10%0%0.00
04/10/20269th10/147%20%-0.27