Onebigbeautfulbill
3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 94
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
72%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 2.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | Luis Saez | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Saratoga | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | Flavien Prat | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -30.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |