3
Vekinda
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Belmont Park | Manuel Franco | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-04-25 | Aqueduct | Eric Cancel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Aqueduct | Manuel Franco | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Aqueduct | Manuel Franco | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Aqueduct | Manuel Franco | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2024 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 90% | -0.01 |
| 08/12/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 11/01/2025 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 90% | -0.06 |
| 08/02/2025 | 2nd | 4/11 | 98% | 90% | -0.08 |
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 23/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 25/04/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/10/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |