7

After Taxes

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 95

Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 22/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 94 · 7f110y Fm 118 · beat its mark22/02/2025 · OR 94 par22/02C6OR 94C5 @ Keeneland 12/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 99 · 1m Gd 118 · below its mark12/04/2025 · OR 99 parC5 @ Churchill Downs 16/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 97 · 5f110y Fm 118 · below its mark16/05/2025 · OR 97 par16/05C5OR 97C5 @ Saratoga 10/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 97 · 5f110y Fm 120 · below its mark10/08/2025 · OR 97 parC5 @ Kentucky Downs 10/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 100 · 6f110y 118 · below its mark10/09/2025 · OR 100 par10/09C5OR 100C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 92 · 6f 126 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 92 parC7 @ Saratoga 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 90 · 5f110y Fm 126 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 90 par9/07C7OR 90C5 @ Saratoga 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 92 · 5f110y Fm 126 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 92 parC5 @ Saratoga 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fm 126 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 93 par5/09C5OR 93projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05SaratogaDylan Davis?5th5th0
2026-08-09SaratogaDylan Davis?5th5th0
2026-07-09SaratogaDylan Davis?1st3rd−2
2026-06-27Belmont At The Big ADylan Davis?1st4th−3
2025-09-10Kentucky DownsJohn Velazquez?7th7th0
2025-08-10SaratogaJunior Alvarado?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0210/089/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength25%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
12/04/20256th14/126%55%+0.28
16/05/20253rd6/168%82%+0.13
10/08/20253rd6/168%60%-0.08
10/09/20257th9/276%45%-0.31
27/06/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
09/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
09/08/20265th7/282%56%-0.26
05/09/20265th11/271%43%-0.28