10
Criteria
3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 10 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Belmont Park | Flavien Prat | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Saratoga | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | Jose Ortiz | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | Flavien Prat | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | Flavien Prat | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | Flavien Prat | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 62/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |