8
Cuando
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 98
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | Kendrick Carmouche | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | Jose Lezcano | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | Kendrick Carmouche | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | Kendrick Carmouche | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | Kendrick Carmouche | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Aqueduct | Kendrick Carmouche | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |