4
Repentless
3yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 97
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 7f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Belmont Park | Samuel Marin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | Yedsit Hazlewood | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Churchill Downs | Adam Beschizza | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Keeneland | Adam Beschizza | ? | 10th | 5th | +5 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kentucky Downs | Adam Beschizza | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 8-10 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -25.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/10/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 04/10/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |