2

Go Irish

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 78

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 07/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 87 · 6f Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2025 · OR 87 par7/09C6OR 87C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 17/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 84 · 7f Fas 123 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 84 parC7 @ Aqueduct 22/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 89 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 89 par22/11C7OR 89C7 @ Aqueduct 21/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Aqueduct 17/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 83 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 83 par17/04C7OR 83C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 15/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 79 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 81 · 7f 121 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 81 par12/06C8OR 81C6 @ Monmouth Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 81 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Belmont Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 82 par19/09C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Belmont ParkJoel Rosario?8th8th0
2026-08-29Monmouth ParkEdwin Gonzalez?2nd0th+2
2026-06-12Belmont At The Big AEdgard Zayas?7th7th0
2026-05-15Belmont At The Big ADylan Davis?9th8th+1
2026-04-17AqueductJavier Castellano?7th6th+1
2026-03-21AqueductChristopher Elliott?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0921/0312/0619/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20259th5/174%20%-0.54
17/10/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
22/11/20255th25/10%33%+0.33
21/03/20265th8/158%20%-0.38
17/04/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
15/05/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
12/06/20267th9/153%14%-0.38
29/08/20262nd7/163%88%+0.24
19/09/20268th3/184%0%-0.84