6
He's Got This
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 78
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Belmont Park | Javier Castellano | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Belmont Park | Jose Lezcano | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Saratoga | Junior Alvarado | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | Jose Lezcano | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | Andre Worrie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Belmont At The Big A | Jose Lezcano | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 17% | -0.76 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 15/10/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |