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8

Share The Ludt

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 80

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 19/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 98 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 98 par19/10C5OR 98C5 @ Aqueduct 15/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 94 · 6f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/11/2025 · OR 94 parC5 @ Aqueduct 26/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 93 · 1m Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 93 par26/12C5OR 93C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 07/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 79 · 6f110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 80 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 80 par3/06C5OR 80C6 @ Saratoga 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 74 · 6f110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 74 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 18/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 80 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 80 par18/08C6OR 80C5 @ Finger Lakes 15/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 84 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 30/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2026 · OR 83 par30/09C5OR 83projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30Finger LakesShaun Bridgmohan?5th2nd+3
2026-09-15Finger LakesShaun Bridgmohan?2nd-1th+3
2026-08-18Finger LakesShaun Bridgmohan?6th4th+2
2026-07-10SaratogaChristopher Elliott?7th5th+2
2026-06-03Finger LakesReylu Gutierrez?2nd-1th+3
2026-05-07Belmont At The Big AChristopher Elliott?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/107/0518/0830/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/20256th8/158%17%-0.41
15/11/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
26/12/20255th25/10%0%0.00
07/05/20267th10/147%0%-0.47
03/06/20262nd2/189%75%-0.14
10/07/20267th25/10%0%0.00
18/08/20266th11/271%0%-0.71
15/09/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
30/09/20265th13/891%33%-0.58