10

Uncle Jim

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 80

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 01/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 96 · 7f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 96 par1/11C7OR 96C7 @ Aqueduct 13/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 98 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 98 parC7 @ Aqueduct 03/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 95 · 6f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 95 par3/01C7OR 95C8 @ Aqueduct 05/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 88 · 7f 123 · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Aqueduct 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 91 · 6f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 91 par21/03C7OR 91C8 @ Aqueduct 12/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 95 · 7f 121 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 95 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 88 · 6f110y 121 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 88 par3/05C8OR 88C7 @ Saratoga 19/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 83 · 7f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Belmont Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 84 par19/09C8OR 84projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Belmont ParkDylan Davis?5th5th0
2026-08-19SaratogaRicardo Jr Santana?7th6th+1
2026-05-03Belmont At The Big AEdgard Zayas?3rd3rd0
2026-04-12AqueductDalila Rivera?2nd2nd0
2026-03-21AqueductSahin Civaci?4th3rd+1
2026-02-05AqueductJaime Rodriguez?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/115/023/0519/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength50%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20254th9/276%63%-0.14
13/12/20254th5/174%50%-0.24
03/01/20266th13/266%29%-0.37
05/02/20265th6/168%43%-0.26
21/03/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
12/04/20262nd7/163%83%+0.20
03/05/20263rd15/261%50%-0.11
19/08/20267th20/10%0%0.00
19/09/20265th11/271%43%-0.28