1
Program Trading
6yo Horse · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 118
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Knickerbocker Stakes · 1m 1f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼4
Strength94%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Belmont Park | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | Flavien Prat | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | Flavien Prat | ? | 1st | -4th | +4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | Flavien Prat | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Fair Grounds | Flavien Prat | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 01/11/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 64% | -0.31 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 01/10/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |