Tiz Dashing
4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 110
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Knickerbocker Stakes · 1m 1f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Keeneland | Javier Castellano | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | Javier Castellano | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | Javier Castellano | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Keeneland | Javier Castellano | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | Javier Castellano | ? | 1st | -4th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 08/11/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 09/10/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 45% | -0.39 |