5
West Hollywood
5yo Horse · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 113
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Knickerbocker Stakes · 1m 1f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | Victor Carrasco | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Churchill Downs | Irad Ortiz Jr | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Churchill Downs | Irad Ortiz Jr | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | Flavien Prat | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fair Grounds | Marcelino Jr Pedroza | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-04-29 | Churchill Downs | Flavien Prat | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/08/2024 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/04/2025 | 7th | 11/10 | 94% | 45% | -0.49 |
| 29/04/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 63% | -0.31 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |