4
Silent Roar
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 69
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Delaware Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Delaware Park | Edgar Villasmil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | Edgar Villasmil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | Melvis Gonzalez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | Jose Gomez | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 18/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 07/10/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |