Drama
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 70
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Charles Town | Jose Diaz | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-10-08 | Charles Town | Abnel Bocachica | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-08-01 | Charles Town | Abnel Bocachica | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-04 | Charles Town | Abnel Bocachica | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Charles Town | Abnel Bocachica | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | Yolber Torres | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 08/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 08/10/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 24/10/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |