1
Ok By Me
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 71
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Meadowlands | Teshawn Hazelwood | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | Edgar Paucar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | Mario Fuentes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | Ismerio Villalobos | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Sam Houston Race Park | Mario Fuentes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Sam Houston Race Park | Lane Luzzi | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 07/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 10/10/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |