2

Speedy Bubbles

6yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 72

Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 4f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength57%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Charles Town 27/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 86 · 4f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2025 · OR 86 par27/06C7OR 86C5 @ Charles Town 25/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 83 · 4f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2025 · OR 83 parC5 @ Charles Town 16/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 85 · 4f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 85 par16/08C5OR 85C5 @ Charles Town 12/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 80 · 4f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 80 parC5 @ Charles Town 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 4f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 82 par2/10C5OR 82C5 @ Charles Town 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 80 · 4f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 80 parC8 @ Charles Town 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 83 · 4f110y Fas 124 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 83 par12/09C8OR 83C8 @ Charles Town 03/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 75 · 4f110y Gd 124 · below its mark03/10/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Charles Town 22/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 70 · 4f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark22/10/2026 · OR 70 par22/10C8OR 70projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-22Charles TownMaximo Chilo?1st1st0
2026-10-03Charles TownMaximo Chilo?5th5th0
2026-09-12Charles TownJahnxander Raspaldo?3rd3rd0
2025-10-25Charles TownFredy Peltroche?3rd0th+3
2025-10-02Charles TownFredy Peltroche?4th1st+3
2025-09-12Charles TownFredy Peltroche?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0612/0912/0922/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength85%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20254th5/174%50%-0.24
25/07/20252nd5/174%88%+0.14
16/08/20256th5/287%0%-0.87
12/09/20252nd13/266%88%+0.22
02/10/20254th12/137%50%+0.13
25/10/20253rd10/147%50%+0.03
12/09/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
03/10/20265th11/486%43%-0.43
22/10/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05