6

Uncaptured Ruby

9yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 49

Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 4f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Charles Town 20/04/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 80 · 6f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/04/2024 · OR 80 par20/04C7OR 80C5 @ Charles Town 12/05/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 75 · 6f110y Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/05/2024 · OR 75 parC5 @ Charles Town 07/06/2024 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2024 · OR 71 par7/06C5OR 71C8 @ Colonial Downs 22/08/2024 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fm 125 · below its mark22/08/2024 · OR 65 parC5 @ Charles Town 29/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 67 · 6f110y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/09/2024 · OR 67 par29/09C5OR 67C8 @ Charles Town 24/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 68 · 4f110y Fas 122 · below its mark24/01/2025 · OR 68 parC8 @ Charles Town 01/03/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 67 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark01/03/2025 · OR 67 par1/03C8OR 67C5 @ Charles Town 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 62 · 4f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 62 parC8 @ Charles Town 15/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 54 · 6f110y 124 · below its mark15/10/2026 · OR 54 par15/10C8OR 54projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-15Charles TownAnthony Mawing?6th6th0
2026-08-28Charles TownAnthony Mawing?6th3rd+3
2025-03-01Charles TownAnthony Mawing?10th10th0
2025-01-24Charles TownAnthony Mawing?6th6th0
2024-09-29Charles TownAnthony Mawing?7th4th+3
2024-08-22Colonial DownsAnthony Mawing?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0422/081/0315/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength23%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/20247th16/116%25%+0.09
12/05/20245th25/10%20%+0.20
07/06/20247th20/10%14%+0.14
22/08/20246th25/10%0%0.00
29/09/20247th50/10%33%+0.33
24/01/20256th40/10%38%+0.38
01/03/202510th40/10%0%0.00
28/08/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
15/10/20266th33/10%17%+0.17