Calyx Express

2yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 2

Deauville · Prix Nonoalco Maiden Stakes · 6f 101y

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

68%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▬ NO MARK

Move▼1

Strength26%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C3.2

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-10-07	Chantilly	C Demuro	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-09-19	Chantilly	M Grandin	1	6th	1st	+4	8.7
2026-05-31	Chantilly	Marvin Grandin	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 55/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength22%

Delivery trend -43.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
31/05/2026	2nd	18/1	5%	88%	+0.82
19/09/2026	6th	25/1	0%	17%	+0.17
07/10/2026	2nd	13/8	91%	88%	-0.04