1

Omarbek

2yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 1

Deauville · Prix Nonoalco Maiden Stakes · 6f 101y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f156y Sft 1232/09C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 18/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12818/09C5C5 @ Chantilly 07/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1287/10C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-07ChantillyS Pasquier?3rd3rd0
2026-09-18Saint-CloudS Pasquier?8th8th0
2026-09-02Lyon-ParillyS Pasquier?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0918/097/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +22.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20265th13/266%60%-0.06
18/09/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
07/10/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38