3
Storm Run
2yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 8
Deauville · Prix Nonoalco Maiden Stakes · 6f 101y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength9%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | C Demuro | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | C Demuro | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -45.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |