1
Alfiya
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 4
Deauville · Prix La Bamba Maiden Stakes · 6f 101y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Toulouse | T Piccone | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-28 | Craon | M Protti | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | M Protti | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | C Demuro | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 43/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |
| 28/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 16/10/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |