7

Carmontelle
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 11
Deauville · Prix La Bamba Maiden Stakes · 6f 101y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Strasbourg | T Trullier | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Saint-Cloud | D Provost | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 11-11 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -27.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 21% | -0.15 |
| 04/10/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 13% | -0.43 |