9
Muhara Moon
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix La Bamba Maiden Stakes · 6f 101y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Lyon-Parilly | M Marquette | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | M Marquette | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | A Pouchin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 33/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 06/10/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |