4
Wonder Baileys
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 6
Deauville · Prix La Bamba Maiden Stakes · 6f 101y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chantilly | E Verhestraeten | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Saint-Cloud | E Verhestraeten | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | Tom Marquand | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +24.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/10/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |