13
Blanc Carat
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 2
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#16
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | ParisLongchamp | P Bazire | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | C Soumillon | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | M Barzalona | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | F Valle Skar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | F Valle Skar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | Giovanni Sias | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 10-16 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 08/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/04/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 62% | -0.23 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/09/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 13/10/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |