4
Bon Viveur
3yo Colt · 9-4 · Draw 14
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Deauville | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Saint-Cloud | L Brechet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | Pierre-Charles Boudot | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | S Pasquier | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | S Pasquier | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | S Pasquier | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength30%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 02/07/2026 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 7% | -0.51 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 19/10/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |