5
Crackon
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 3
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Lyon La Soie | I Mendizabal | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | I Mendizabal | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Mans | I Mendizabal | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Pau | I Mendizabal | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Pau | I Mendizabal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 16-16 · tight 85/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -23.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 11/10/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |