14
Honey Pearl
3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 12
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#15
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Fontainebleau | R Mangione | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-10-01 | Argentan | H Lebouc | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | C Demuro | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | C Demuro | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | C Demuro | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | M Velon | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 8-16 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 02/07/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 08/08/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 21% | +0.16 |
| 10/09/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/10/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 16/10/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |