10
Il Magistero
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#11
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | D Provost | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | D Provost | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | L Plommee | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | L Plommee | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | D Provost | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | D Provost | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 8-16 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/09/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |