12
Ingeborg
3yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 16
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#7
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | M Barzalona | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | T Bachelot | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | M Guyon | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | H Lebouc | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | C Soumillon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | H Lebouc | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 58% | +0.03 |
| 24/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 62% | -0.24 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 07/07/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |