16
Marasi Drive
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 11
Deauville · Prix Du Pays De Bray Handicap · 1m 1f 97y
#8
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chantilly | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | C Demuro | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | L Brechet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | Aurelien Lemaitre | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | Aurelien Lemaitre | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +11.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 15/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 24/09/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 15/10/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |